No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 5¢). Volume $16k, liquidity $28k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $13.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 76% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.6M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 25% | $2.8M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 21% | $1.6M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $833k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $529k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| wac45 | Yes | 3k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1k |
| fiter | Yes | 992 |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A | Yes | 800 |
| probability | Yes | 744 |
| 0x553324 | Yes | 699 |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 682 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 625 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 610 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 436 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 10k |
| 0x7f15…52f1 | No | 865 |
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