No won. Smart money backed Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 28¢) and lost. Volume $83k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 31% · Marco Rubio 21% · Ron DeSantis 11% | $2.0M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18% · Josh Shapiro 5% | $1.6M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 14% · JD Vance 13% | $986k |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 15% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% | $823k |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $443k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 69% · Puma Shen 32% | $271k |
| Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027? | Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken 97% · Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds 3% | $57k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5? | Yes 97% · No 4% | $39k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| melonmanm | No | $1k |
| 0x0dcc… | No | $928.35 |
| 0x9b55… | No | $910.54 |
| C.PM | No | $718.75 |
| 0x7678… | No | $565.58 |
| HolyMoses7 | No | $227.36 |
| 0x25db… | No | $181.22 |
| ViataBateFilmul | Yes | $154.35 |
| crypto-basenji | No | $126.45 |
| mildwindow27 | No | $71.58 |
| VerilyWinningly | No | $46.09 |
| kjfghxd | No | $43.37 |
162 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $5.7k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $7.6k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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