What are the odds for “Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?” on Polymarket?

No 89% · Yes 12%, on $39k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?

No 89% · Yes 12%. Volume $39k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
89%
Yes
12%
Volume
$39k
Liquidity
$11k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 164 known shares

Railcoolwhale
entry 95¢ · all-time +$130k · win 57%
Fihdrzgdd
entry — · all-time −$21k · win 45%
D222222222
entry 23¢ · all-time −$7.6k · win 50%

No

2 wallets · 27 known shares

flexibleagedbeef
entry 90¢ · all-time +$1.3k · win 76%
GuyFromTinder
entry 34¢ · all-time −$100k · win 45%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 89% · Yes 12%, on $39k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?

live

Will Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

88.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes16486%
No2714%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$275k	$78k	-5.8%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$159k	$107k	4.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$123k	$652k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$120k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 28% · No 73%	$101k	$78k	-3%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$96k	$51k	1.5%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	Yes 99% · No 1%	$93k	$61k	2.2%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$80k	$173k	0.5%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 9¢ask 14¢spread 5¢mid 12¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1529¢

14¢210

2868¢

15¢40

67¢

16¢42

203¢

36¢11

1752¢

37¢11

1.2k1¢

39¢20

58¢100

59¢483

65¢5

80¢5

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	299	$193k
Haradwaith	Yes	162	−$421k
Railcool	Yes	107	$130k
Fihdrzgdd	Yes	37	−$21k
pppnn	Yes	36	−$81k
napamen	Yes	30	−$8k
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	25	−$339k
stph81	Yes	24	−$424.41
maomao228	Yes	20	−$14k
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	20	$7k
aviato	No	331	$225k
0xd056…f1be	No	257	$9k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$44k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$24k
4Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$20k
6Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$5k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$7k
8Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5?$3k
9Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2k