No 60% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 55¢). Volume $20k, liquidity $391. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 66% · Anthropic 32% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 59% · November 2–November 8 13% · November 16–November 22 11% | $22k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 53% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 27% · November 11 18% · November 13 7% | $9k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 75% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $6k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $5k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| spxtest | Yes | 506 |
| KnowsAllOfIt | Yes | 505 |
| politode | Yes | 275 |
| 0x652bFf901f401Fdhsk342kdjfnfk029abks13 | Yes | 201 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 197 |
| smith-dom | Yes | 197 |
| KnightTeras | Yes | 174 |
| molodoyy | Yes | 163 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 124 |
| AboveLookUp | Yes | 77 |
| iutwpfal | No | 1k |
| recallcp | No | 676 |
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