No 92% · Yes 8%. Smart money leans No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 79¢). Volume $15k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $749k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $276k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $247k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 24% · No 77% | $203k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 92% · No 9% | $182k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $174k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $163k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $163k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 214 |
| PPMT | Yes | 168 |
| nanioto | Yes | 30 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 21 |
| Slackjaw | Yes | 20 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 19 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 17 |
| pppnn | Yes | 13 |
| obpq | Yes | 12 |
| Cattail | No | 527 |
| Smart-bettor7 | No | 410 |
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