No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢). Volume $911k, liquidity $82k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $431k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $296k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $229k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $203k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $160k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $154k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $137k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $121k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SuperDog23 | Yes | 33k |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 4k |
| earthStones | Yes | 4k |
| Eddan | Yes | 3k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 2k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| Trtr2026 | Yes | 1k |
| ClariseStarling007 | Yes | 1k |
| 69dsfs | Yes | 1k |
| darksoul238 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| WrightLyly | No | 19 |
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