No won. Smart money backed Yes (5 ranked wallets, average entry 12¢) and lost. Volume $6.6M. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| F1: Action of the Year | Max Verstappen 70% · Lewis Hamilton 3% · Lando Norris 3% | $4k |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $1k |
| F1 Constructors' Champion | Mercedes 100% · Ferrari 0% | $902.11 |
| Will there be a red flag during the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | Yes 100% · No 1% | $189.06 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 3rd Place | Lewis Hamilton 45% · George Russell 45% · Max Verstappen 39% | $167.57 |
| F1 Drivers' Champion: 2nd Place | Max Verstappen 72% · Lewis Hamilton 28% · Charles Leclerc 24% | $132.68 |
| Will Lando Norris finish fifth in the 2026 F1 Drivers' Championship? | Yes 38% · No 62% | $123.66 |
| Who will finish higher: Ocon or Bearman? | Ocon 50% · Bearman 50% | $95.99 |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| El-Yacare | No | $5k |
| Ryxon21 | No | $2k |
| 0x75d1… | No | $799.04 |
| 0x46ee… | Yes | $635.31 |
| envyme77 | Yes | $494.60 |
| oh23 | No | $323.99 |
| PeterEriksson | Yes | $300.20 |
| pfsummer | No | $263.33 |
| Liam020226 | Yes | $261.00 |
| why46912 | No | $241.19 |
| no-brakes | Yes | $209.92 |
| rodvargast | Yes | $202.85 |
2,642 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $14k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $45k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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