What are the odds for “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?” on Polymarket?

No 94% · Yes 6%, on $1.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Trump · live

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

No 94% · Yes 6%. Volume $1.8k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
94%
Yes
6%
Volume
$1.8k
Liquidity
$15k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

94.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No20859%
Yes14541%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Trump markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$203k	$242k	0.2%
Presidential Election Winner 2028	Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0%	$170k	$1.2M
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes 9% · No 92%	$109k	$52k	-15%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	Donald Trump 2% · Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1%	$61k	$2.0M
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes 21% · No 80%	$57k	$29k	1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$40k	$168k	-0.1%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?	China 82% · No meeting by December 31 12% · Russia 0%	$13k	$162k
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	Yes 29% · No 71%	$12k	$10k	-21.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 5.6¢ask 5.7¢spread 0.1¢mid 5.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

25.6¢

5.7¢391

4905.1¢

5.8¢550

5005¢

6¢50

3274.9¢

6.1¢50

504.8¢

6.2¢361

294.7¢

6.3¢50

6674.6¢

6.4¢477

2334.5¢

6.7¢772

54.4¢

6.8¢1.1k

504.2¢

6.9¢4.5k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
ZOV22	Yes	116	5¢	$5.87	−$55.74
geohookah	Yes	103	5¢	$5	−$826.32
thecaricature	Yes	84	5¢	$3.56	−$8k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	54			$173k
Numitus1994	Yes	52			−$37k
Rane2022	Yes	49	6¢	$3	$5k
ghorrock	Yes	12			$1k
spetzle	No	134	95¢	$127.03	$96.06
Mattia.Ilenotti	No	105	94¢	$103.78	$1k
PowerPicker	No	100	95¢	$95.19	−$53.23
64MGX75VLQ	No	80	95¢	$76.35	$8k
GuyFromTinder	No	23	95¢	$21.51	−$102k

Smart-money conviction · Trump

Smart-money conviction

1Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$34k
2Trump out as President before 2027?$7k
3Trump out as President before 2027?$5k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 145 known shares

thecaricature
entry 5¢ · all-time −$7.6k · win 54%
Rane2022
entry 6¢ · all-time +$4.8k · win 73%
ghorrock
entry — · all-time +$1.3k · win 52%

No

3 wallets · 208 known shares

Mattia.Ilenotti
entry 94¢ · all-time +$1.1k · win 66%
64MGX75VLQ
entry 95¢ · all-time +$7.9k · win 94%
GuyFromTinder
entry 95¢ · all-time −$102k · win 44%

More Trump markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 94% · Yes 6%, on $1.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Trump · live

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

No 94% · Yes 6%. Volume $1.8k, liquidity $15k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
94%
Yes
6%
Volume
$1.8k
Liquidity
$15k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?

live

Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

94.4%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No20859%
Yes14541%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Trump markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$203k	$242k	0.2%
Presidential Election Winner 2028	Donald Trump 1% · Ivanka Trump 1% · Donald Trump Jr. 0%	$170k	$1.2M
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?	Yes 9% · No 92%	$109k	$52k	-15%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028	Donald Trump 2% · Donald Trump Jr. 2% · Ivanka Trump 1%	$61k	$2.0M
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes 21% · No 80%	$57k	$29k	1%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$40k	$168k	-0.1%
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?	China 82% · No meeting by December 31 12% · Russia 0%	$13k	$162k
Trump impeached and removed before 2028?	Yes 29% · No 71%	$12k	$10k	-21.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 5.6¢ask 5.7¢spread 0.1¢mid 5.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

25.6¢

5.7¢391

4905.1¢

5.8¢550

5005¢

6¢50

3274.9¢

6.1¢50

504.8¢

6.2¢361

294.7¢

6.3¢50

6674.6¢

6.4¢477

2334.5¢

6.7¢772

54.4¢

6.8¢1.1k

504.2¢

6.9¢4.5k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
ZOV22	Yes	116	5¢	$5.87	−$55.74
geohookah	Yes	103	5¢	$5	−$826.32
thecaricature	Yes	84	5¢	$3.56	−$8k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	54			$173k
Numitus1994	Yes	52			−$37k
Rane2022	Yes	49	6¢	$3	$5k
ghorrock	Yes	12			$1k
spetzle	No	134	95¢	$127.03	$96.06
Mattia.Ilenotti	No	105	94¢	$103.78	$1k
PowerPicker	No	100	95¢	$95.19	−$53.23
64MGX75VLQ	No	80	95¢	$76.35	$8k
GuyFromTinder	No	23	95¢	$21.51	−$102k

Smart-money conviction · Trump

Smart-money conviction

1Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?$34k
2Trump out as President before 2027?$7k
3Trump out as President before 2027?$5k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 145 known shares

thecaricature
entry 5¢ · all-time −$7.6k · win 54%
Rane2022
entry 6¢ · all-time +$4.8k · win 73%
ghorrock
entry — · all-time +$1.3k · win 52%

No

3 wallets · 208 known shares

Mattia.Ilenotti
entry 94¢ · all-time +$1.1k · win 66%
64MGX75VLQ
entry 95¢ · all-time +$7.9k · win 94%
GuyFromTinder
entry 95¢ · all-time −$102k · win 44%

More Trump markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?” on Polymarket?: No 94% · Yes 6%, on $1.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the US politics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.