No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (8 ranked wallets, average entry 81¢). Volume $289k, liquidity $128k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 67% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 12% | $23k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 57% · November 11 10% · November 9 6% | $14k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $13k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $12k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $7k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 6, 2026? | Yes 6% · No 94% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| fiuehyizhyfirytge | Yes | 81k |
| AnimalEater | Yes | 29k |
| valentovastan | Yes | 9k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 8k |
| Crypto-Well | Yes | 5k |
| jozeslemsek | Yes | 5k |
| BabyGroot | Yes | 5k |
| 0x54d917 | Yes | 2k |
| 0x65de8a | Yes | 2k |
| 0xb92b99 | Yes | 2k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 163k |
| fff34 | No | 137 |
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