No won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 33¢) and lost. Volume $38k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 6% | $51k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $37k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 64% · November 16–November 22 18% · November 2–November 8 4% | $23k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 92% · No 8% | $12k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 30% · November 10 21% · No release by November 30 10% | $10k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 49% · November 16–November 22 17% · November 9–November 15 16% | $9k |
| Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 4241g | Yes | $50.05 |
| fg5fgdsr | No | $40.30 |
| tanhanh | No | $25.45 |
| rubby1337 | No | $24.87 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | $24.30 |
| goodboya | Yes | $21.75 |
| nibblemaxxing | No | $21.11 |
| boofa | No | $20.87 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | $20.47 |
| HHR-TEST1 | No | $20.08 |
| 0xa24d… | No | $15.67 |
| h5ehgrf | Yes | $15.13 |
123 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $556; the 58 biggest losers gave up $734. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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