No 90% · Yes 11%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 23¢). Volume $7.3k, liquidity $2.2k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 2–November 8 10% | $30k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $19k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 65% · Anthropic 29% · OpenAI 2% | $15k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $14k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 63% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 20% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut in the top 5 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 1% · No 99% | $7k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 91% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 690 |
| from00 | Yes | 680 |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 384 |
| rocky42006 | Yes | 274 |
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 229 |
| fiter | Yes | 200 |
| Wojtek | Yes | 200 |
| Ohyeahohno | Yes | 102 |
| STONKS228 | Yes | 100 |
| lllyyycccc | Yes | 100 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 3k |
| Haradwaith | No | 99 |
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