Yes won. Smart money backed No (2 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $19k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026? | 400-419 34% · 380-399 33% · 420-439 12% | $414k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 360-379 14% · 340-359 14% · 380-399 12% | $134k |
| Next James Bond actor? | Jack Lowden 42% · Callum Turner 30% · No Bond chosen 13% | $45k |
| Elon Musk # tweets November 2 - November 4, 2026? | 90-114 32% · 65-89 26% · 40-64 16% | $43k |
| Highest grossing movie in 2026? | Spider-Man: Brand New Day 95% · Avengers: Doomsday 5% | $37k |
| "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office | <28m 34% · 28m-31m 32% · 37m-40m 10% | $14k |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $10k |
| Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026? | Avengers: Doomsday 53% · Spider-Man: Brand New Day 48% | $9k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x954d… | Yes | $1k |
| Shera123 | Yes | $557.41 |
| It3 | Yes | $396.19 |
| 0120346 | Yes | $218.49 |
| zhangyu1377 | Yes | $137.80 |
| 0xdeb5… | Yes | $92.79 |
| shovelingdigging | Yes | $92.72 |
| ludo-money | Yes | $56.13 |
| Hit-man | Yes | $51.96 |
| ddd333aaa | Yes | $43.20 |
| 0x11ea… | Yes | $39.23 |
| SONIC31RUS | Yes | $38.25 |
74 wallets held a position at the close. The 40 biggest winners took $3.3k; the 34 biggest losers gave up $1.5k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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