Yes won. Smart money backed No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 1¢) and lost. Volume $346. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap | $1.25–$1.5T 27% · $1.5–$1.75T 23% · <$1.25T 21% | $214k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $92k |
| Largest IPO by market cap in 2026? | SpaceX 87% · Anthropic 10% | $89k |
| AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes 8% · No 92% | $68k |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | Yes 86% · No 14% | $63k |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $54k |
| Largest Company end of December 2026? | Apple 63% · NVIDIA 36% · Alphabet 1% | $46k |
| Largest Company end of November 2026? | Apple 69% · NVIDIA 30% · Microsoft 0% | $38k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| superstonksbro | Yes | $24 |
| 0xe8d0… | Yes | $2.85 |
| sho-tam-4 | Yes | $1.80 |
| yesasdgfaskdfhask | Yes | $1.70 |
| superstonksbro | No | −$42.25 |
| LornaPredicts | No | −$24 |
| sho-tam-4 | No | −$2.51 |
7 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $30; the 3 biggest losers gave up $69. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
Economics's smart-money board and the live whale tape — every wallet by name, with its entries — the free layer under this dashboard.
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