No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $239k, liquidity $65k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 17% · No 84% | $513k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $304k |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $248k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $214k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $197k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $195k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $185k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 97% · No 3% | $161k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 33k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| 0xwhaleshark | Yes | 4k |
| balthazar | Yes | 2k |
| Guilloguillo | Yes | 2k |
| 2B9S | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| 69dsfs | Yes | 1k |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 1k |
| Trtr2026 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 60k |
| northdrawer | No | 0 |
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