No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (10 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢). Volume $303k, liquidity $69k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $694k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 9% · No 91% | $237k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $191k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $180k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $157k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $149k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 36k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| 0xwhaleshark | Yes | 5k |
| balthazar | Yes | 2k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1k |
| 69dsfs | Yes | 1k |
| darksoul238 | Yes | 1k |
| NyetRisk | Yes | 899 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 880 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 726 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| jhghghrt | No | 8 |
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