No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (18 ranked wallets, average entry 94¢). Volume $1.1k, liquidity $33k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 68% · Anthropic 30% · OpenAI 3% | $25k |
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 70% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 11% | $25k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 53% · November 11 15% · November 9 5% | $13k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 56% · Anthropic 39% · OpenAI 5% | $13k |
| Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $10k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $8k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 12% · November 9–November 15 7% | $8k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| balthazar | Yes | 5k |
| qwen300.fund | Yes | 4k |
| haveagoodday | Yes | 3k |
| e46m3 | Yes | 3k |
| donthackme | Yes | 3k |
| WarriorH | Yes | 2k |
| SpringlyFawl | Yes | 1k |
| alex20011 | Yes | 1k |
| 0x3653…ef74 | Yes | 1k |
| lpgb | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 38k |
| Hugin-og-Munin | No | 4 |
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