No 73% · Yes 27%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 23¢). Volume $4.8k, liquidity $504. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 30–December 6 7% | $26k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 70% · Anthropic 28% · OpenAI 3% | $18k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 54% · Anthropic 37% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | Yes 6% · No 95% | $13k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 66% · November 16–November 22 14% · November 9–November 15 6% | $10k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 11 29% · November 10 24% · No release by November 30 10% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | Yes 69% · No 32% | $8k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | Yes 89% · No 12% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| X10X10X10 | Yes | 346 |
| ronaldk | Yes | 145 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 109 |
| blastimas | Yes | 79 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 76 |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 34 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 24 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 18 |
| hfv | Yes | 13 |
| szy10010 | Yes | 10 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 721 |
| cigarettes | No | 60 |
Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.