Yes won. Volume $8.3k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x96cf… | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| 0xed64… | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| 0x3f87… | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| When will Gemini Carbon be released? | November 9–November 15 66% · November 16–November 22 13% · November 2–November 8 11% | $27k |
| Which company has best AI model end of 2026? | Google 58% · Anthropic 31% · OpenAI 5% | $16k |
| Gemini Carbon released on...? | November 10 48% · November 11 11% · November 9 8% | $13k |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $11k |
| Which company has the best AI model end of November? | Google 69% · Meta 1% · SpaceXAI 0% | $10k |
| Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1490 by June 30, 2027? | Yes 9% · No 91% | $8k |
| When will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released? | November 2–November 8 71% · November 16–November 22 11% · November 9–November 15 8% | $7k |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut in the top 10 of the Text Arena leaderboard by June 30, 2027? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $6k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| 0x637e… | Yes | $547.22 |
| spxtest | Yes | $450.79 |
| K7fhp9vXm2Rtw4LbN8cGy3Ds6AoE | Yes | $92.02 |
| omsode | Yes | $30.56 |
| iutwpfal | Yes | $29.50 |
| 0x9a9e… | Yes | $27.30 |
| bushseer | No | $14.53 |
| 0x28a6… | Yes | $12.25 |
| HHR-TEST1 | Yes | $11.20 |
| rubby1337 | Yes | $9.40 |
| needleladder | Yes | $6.09 |
| pad6 | Yes | $5.80 |
35 wallets held a position at the close. The 16 biggest winners took $1.2k; the 19 biggest losers gave up $320. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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