Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Other · Other · live

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

No 86% · Yes 14%. Volume $92k, liquidity $2.9k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗

No
86%
Yes
14%
Volume
$92k
Liquidity
$2.9k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

5 wallets · 545 known shares

gummy-usb
entry 18¢ · P&L $5.2k · win 42%
azot
entry 57¢ · P&L -$443 · win 65%
mmmbop
entry 55¢ · P&L $41k · win 69%
xcaiox
entry 54¢ · P&L $13k · win 75%
Hugin-og-Munin
entry 88¢ · P&L $28k · win 50%

No

3 wallets · 2,052 known shares

Sylvester.the.Cat
entry 89¢ · P&L $26k · win 67%

More Other markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?” on Polymarket?: No 86% · Yes 14%, on $92k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

live

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by Decem… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

14%

Yes

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

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Smart-money conviction · Other

Smart-money conviction