What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?

No 67% · Yes 34%, on $3.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

No 67% · Yes 34%. Volume $3.3k, liquidity $297. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
67%
Yes
34%
Volume
$3.3k
Liquidity
$297

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

66.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No563%
Yes337%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.5–$1.75T 30% · $1.75–$2.0T 23% · $2.0–$2.25T 19%	$144k	$186k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 64% · Anthropic 32%	$115k	$117k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$84k	$31k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$66k	$76k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$33k	$82k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$25k	$44k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$22k	$20k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$21k	$39k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 29¢ask 38¢spread 9¢mid 33.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

629¢

38¢242

628¢

39¢6

1423¢

41¢5

5722¢

44¢16

3821¢

45¢100

7020¢

49¢5

2014¢

74¢30

90¢51

91¢78

92¢30

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
Haradwaith	Yes	100	−$424k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	100	−$100k
lolzzzlol	Yes	100	−$99k
NotJump	Yes	100	−$16k
trader-05ddbe2e	Yes	97	$3k
LornaPredicts	Yes	24	$15k
liq2	Yes	20	$11k
0xbb82…e686	Yes	12	−$2.84
coldhot	Yes	10	$2k
mustbethewater	Yes	8	$65k
0xa5ef39	No	498	$0
Dr.PNL	No	67	−$503k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$9k
2Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5k
3Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$5k
4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$2k
7Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1k
8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of November 2 2026?$1k
9Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in November?$825.00
10Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 3 known shares

Anon321321321
entry — · all-time +$2.4k · win 35%

No

1 wallets · 5 known shares

pppnn
entry 51¢ · all-time −$81k · win 46%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 67% · Yes 34%, on $3.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

No 67% · Yes 34%. Volume $3.3k, liquidity $297. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
67%
Yes
34%
Volume
$3.3k
Liquidity
$297

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?

live

Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

66.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No563%
Yes337%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.5–$1.75T 30% · $1.75–$2.0T 23% · $2.0–$2.25T 19%	$144k	$186k
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 64% · Anthropic 32%	$115k	$117k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$84k	$31k
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes 14% · No 87%	$66k	$76k
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes 96% · No 4%	$33k	$82k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$25k	$44k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$22k	$20k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes 4% · No 96%	$21k	$39k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 29¢ask 38¢spread 9¢mid 33.5¢

SizeBid

AskSize

629¢

38¢242

628¢

39¢6

1423¢

41¢5

5722¢

44¢16

3821¢

45¢100

7020¢

49¢5

2014¢

74¢30

90¢51

91¢78

92¢30

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
Haradwaith	Yes	100	−$424k
GuyFromTinder	Yes	100	−$100k
lolzzzlol	Yes	100	−$99k
NotJump	Yes	100	−$16k
trader-05ddbe2e	Yes	97	$3k
LornaPredicts	Yes	24	$15k
liq2	Yes	20	$11k
0xbb82…e686	Yes	12	−$2.84
coldhot	Yes	10	$2k
mustbethewater	Yes	8	$65k
0xa5ef39	No	498	$0
Dr.PNL	No	67	−$503k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$9k
2Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$5k
3Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$5k
4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in November?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$2k
6Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$2k
7Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?$1k
8Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of November 2 2026?$1k
9Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in November?$825.00
10Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?$2k

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 3 known shares

Anon321321321
entry — · all-time +$2.4k · win 35%

No

1 wallets · 5 known shares

pppnn
entry 51¢ · all-time −$81k · win 46%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?” on Polymarket?: No 67% · Yes 34%, on $3.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI raise at least $100B in its IPO?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.