Economics · Markets · live

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $1.3k, liquidity $626. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$1.3k
Liquidity
$626

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?

live

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

99%

No

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

No54984%
Yes10416%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Markets markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?	SpaceX 56% · Anthropic 43% · OpenAI 1%	$96k	$214k
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap	$1.75–$2.0T 31% · $2.0–$2.25T 20% · $1.5–$1.75T 19%	$35k	$125k
Anthropic IPO Date	November 20 25% · November 19 19% · No IPO by November 30, 2026 17%	$26k	$38k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes 6% · No 94%	$25k	$51k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$25k	$48k
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?	Yes 7% · No 93%	$24k	$50k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	Yes 3% · No 97%	$19k	$78k
In which month will Anthropic IPO?	December 2026 10% · January 2027 1% · July 2027 1%	$16k	$27k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.	Yes	150	−$10.70
timeistmoney	Yes	100	$2k
Haradwaith	Yes	84	−$421k
a5533	Yes	73	−$8k
hithitfar	Yes	63	$18k
Anjun	Yes	55	$904k
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	50	$7k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	49	$173k
tradetosurvive1	Yes	40	−$220k
Dr.PNL	Yes	33	−$500k
rpontici	No	518	$4k
UUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUUU	No	137	−$1k

Smart-money conviction · Markets

Smart-money conviction

1Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?$16k
2Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?$5k
3Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November?$4k
4Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?$3k
5Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?$2k
6Anthropic IPO before 2027?$3k
7Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$925.36
8Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?$848.23
9Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by December 31?$327.50
10Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November?$295.20

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 104 known shares

hithitfar
entry — · all-time +$18k · win 57%
justmeandme
entry — · all-time −$6.6k · win 37%
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.
entry — · all-time −$5.3k · win 51%

No

2 wallets · 549 known shares

rpontici
entry 92¢ · all-time +$3.9k · win 88%
gotischeschlechti
entry — · all-time +$2.6k · win 49%

More Markets markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $1.3k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $900B by October 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

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