What are the odds for “Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?

No 95% · Yes 5%, on $29k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Geopolitics · live

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?

No 95% · Yes 5%. Volume $29k, liquidity $27k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
95%
Yes
5%
Volume
$29k
Liquidity
$27k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

1 wallets · 10 known shares

sdafsafd
entry — · all-time +$1.2k · win 50%

No

1 wallets · 4 known shares

balerinacapuchina
entry — · all-time +$37k · win 70%

More Geopolitics markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?” on Polymarket?: No 95% · Yes 5%, on $29k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31?

live

Will Pakistan recognize Israel by December 31? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

95.3%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes1074%
No426%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Geopolitics markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity	24h change
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$220k	$71k	-7.2%
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 97% · No 3%	$152k	$108k	4%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes 5% · No 96%	$131k	$638k	-1%
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes 2% · No 98%	$119k	$332k	0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes 98% · No 2%	$92k	$64k	0.8%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes 12% · No 89%	$84k	$327k	0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	Yes 26% · No 75%	$77k	$93k	-5%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes 42% · No 58%	$72k	$184k	-0.2%

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 4.4¢ask 5¢spread 0.6¢mid 4.7¢

SizeBid

AskSize

1004.4¢

5¢98

1064.3¢

5.1¢50

504.1¢

5.5¢12

504¢

5.6¢115

223.9¢

5.7¢366

1823.8¢

5.8¢193

5813.7¢

5.9¢1.1k

923.6¢

6¢1.7k

1.2k3.5¢

6.1¢91

1.7k3.4¢

6.2¢155

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	All-time P&L
0xc7d0…1f8a	Yes	306	$339k
HerrieDavis	Yes	258	$325k
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	223	$193k
0x8f69…2923	Yes	141	−$16k
LornaPredicts	Yes	138	$15k
maxlang	Yes	100	−$768.51
peakyman	Yes	100	−$574.81
GRodBets	Yes	100	−$531.49
Numitus1994	Yes	74	−$36k
Relaccsed	Yes	50	$11k
archaic	No	987	$201k
0xaf40…5662	No	112	$1k

Smart-money conviction · Geopolitics

Smart-money conviction

1Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$23k
2US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?$30k
3Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?$19k
4Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?$11k
5US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?$12k
6US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$2k
7US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?$1k