Yes won. Smart money backed No (6 ranked wallets, average entry 31¢) and lost. Volume $20k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 28% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.8M |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Beijing Playoffs | FURIA 30% · BetBoom Team 70% | $1.6M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 28% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% · Kamala Harris 5% | $949k |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 21% · JD Vance 20% · Kamala Harris 4% | $744k |
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 39% · Marco Rubio 19% | $482k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 70% · Puma Shen 30% | $425k |
| Worlds 2026: Winner | Gen.G 54% · Bilibili Gaming 24% · T1 17% | $387k |
| Elon Musk # tweets October 30 - November 6, 2026? | 300-319 88% · 320-339 11% · 340-359 1% | $271k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Cait37 | Yes | $294.13 |
| clicketyclick | Yes | $174.46 |
| JasonChan7704 | Yes | $166.32 |
| MauriceHoffman7016 | Yes | $152.28 |
| Telluxion | No | $122.26 |
| frenchgamblerdu13 | Yes | $74.42 |
| onenightstands | No | $69.96 |
| mferbots | Yes | $68 |
| Herojianshu | Yes | $67.27 |
| Kyoraku | Yes | $40.11 |
| dearts | Yes | $37.80 |
| Andry09 | No | $33.99 |
77 wallets held a position at the close. The 42 biggest winners took $1.5k; the 35 biggest losers gave up $1.1k. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet held this side.
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