Yes 80% · No 20%. Smart money leans Yes (4 ranked wallets, average entry 66¢). Volume $34k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $5.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 31% | $1.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 74% · Mike Rogers (R) 27% | $956k |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 17% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 13% · Christine Lagarde 6% | $831k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $568k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 58% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $489k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| surfa | Yes | 4k |
| 0x5ar | Yes | 4k |
| dancingmonkey1 | Yes | 2k |
| tvucic | Yes | 1k |
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 1k |
| 0x122c…fbed | Yes | 833 |
| donthackme | Yes | 781 |
| LuleDebil | Yes | 701 |
| ravlas | Yes | 648 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 630 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 10k |
| ce1lvc9ew66 | No | 2k |
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