No 60% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 49¢). Volume $5.5k, liquidity $1.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $250k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 96% · No 5% | $233k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $226k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $174k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $172k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $137k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $110k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 15, 2026? | Yes 62% · No 39% | $107k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| winesom | Yes | 739 |
| Leclerc04 | Yes | 667 |
| vendeurdejamon | Yes | 512 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 243 |
| baklavam | Yes | 126 |
| PacalHarcos | Yes | 80 |
| uohh | Yes | 79 |
| waterrkko | Yes | 39 |
| master.oracle | Yes | 20 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 20 |
| A1VENGO | No | 846 |
| fakwar | No | 300 |
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