No 94% · Yes 7%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 76¢). Volume $98k, liquidity $2.4k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $691k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $233k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 94% · No 7% | $178k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 210 |
| Totaniyala | Yes | 175 |
| 50DRE | Yes | 139 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 129 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 78 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 70 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 52 |
| 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | 50 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 10 |
| tweetmaster | Yes | 9 |
| DumplingBMF | No | 588 |
| CompulsiveGambler | No | 100 |
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