No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (3 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢). Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $308k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 18% · No 83% | $269k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 5% · No 96% | $233k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $225k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 40% · No 60% | $213k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 27% · No 74% | $205k |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $118k |
| Iran leadership change by November 30? | Yes 7% · No 94% | $105k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hesychius | Yes | 8k |
| amused85 | Yes | 5k |
| 0x6206…0cbc | Yes | 3k |
| alean | Yes | 2k |
| polemole | Yes | 793 |
| WEAP0N | Yes | 594 |
| lastchancetobeamillionaire | Yes | 349 |
| 0x0991…e29a | Yes | 338 |
| Ulver90 | Yes | 298 |
| estonianbast4rd | Yes | 266 |
| 0x920ba4 | No | 401 |
| microvesicle | No | 108 |
Part of the Geopolitics Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.