No 97% · Yes 3%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 95¢). Volume $22k, liquidity $14k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 90% · No 10% | $318k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $263k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $162k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 17% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BetsAhead | Yes | 2k |
| diablebleu | Yes | 2k |
| planktonXD | Yes | 284 |
| Andyjosef14666 | Yes | 257 |
| Liquidifier | Yes | 222 |
| VatnikPride | Yes | 200 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 164 |
| baklavam | Yes | 140 |
| abdoohl | Yes | 137 |
| ghorrock | Yes | 134 |
| OraculumNobius | No | 2k |
| Donny.T | No | 2k |
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