No 78% · Yes 23%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 67¢). Volume $5.6k, liquidity $6.0k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 7% | $318k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 78% · No 22% | $263k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $174k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $162k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 88% | $151k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 84% · No 16% | $117k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 53% | $110k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| resilience26 | Yes | 1k |
| rexcom | Yes | 500 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 242 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 139 |
| KimJongJunior | Yes | 135 |
| PPMT | Yes | 60 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | 55 |
| Laribobibo | Yes | 53 |
| 2B9S | Yes | 50 |
| jamski | Yes | 50 |
| Gladius7 | No | 1k |
| viktorurolog16 | No | 538 |
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