No 56% · Yes 44%. Smart money leans No (1 ranked wallet, average entry 64¢). Volume $692, liquidity $182. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $599k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $249k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $201k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $198k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $159k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 5? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $158k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 96% · No 4% | $154k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 277 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 6 |
| 0xf768d6 | Yes | 0 |
| Haradwaith | No | 101 |
| richyee | No | 50 |
| lolzzzlol | No | 30 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 20 |
| MusakaKing | No | 20 |
| helicobite | No | 20 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 20 |
| viktorurolog16 | No | 17 |
| 0x08d5…a1ca | No | 6 |
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