No 100% · Yes 0%. Smart money leans Yes (9 ranked wallets, average entry 34¢). Volume $426k, liquidity $65k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Iran leader end of 2026? →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $683k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $277k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $232k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 93% · No 8% | $190k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes 3% · No 97% | $188k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $181k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $155k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 44% · No 56% | $131k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 0x50eac5 | Yes | 15k |
| 0x009c94 | Yes | 10k |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 5k |
| Freedom-BY | Yes | 3k |
| 0x9c25…3a15 | Yes | 2k |
| 2B9S | Yes | 2k |
| beduydfbswrtgw | Yes | 2k |
| v5489jyyweq32 | Yes | 1k |
| vw46wdvhwreh | Yes | 1k |
| 0xc7bf63 | Yes | 1k |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 61k |
| warptrading | No | 56 |
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