No 88% · Yes 13%. Smart money leans No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 81¢). Volume $7.7k, liquidity $693. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| SpaceX becomes a US mobile carrier by June 30, 2027? | Yes 22% · No 79% | $2k |
| How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31? | 12-15 56% · 16-19 19% · <12 7% | $735.91 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 15, 2026? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $714.09 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | Yes 70% · No 31% | $541 |
| How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026? | <5 70% · 5-6 27% · 9-10 1% | $511.84 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026? | Yes 76% · No 24% | $405.37 |
| Will Waymo launch in Pittsburgh, PA by December 31 2026? | Yes 5% · No 95% | $388.36 |
| How many SpaceX launches in 2026? | 140-159 72% · 120-139 26% · 180-199 6% | $367.22 |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mr.Frog🐸 | Yes | 513 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 504 |
| bisonhead | Yes | 436 |
| Orion96 | Yes | 300 |
| IronE | Yes | 278 |
| 1walrus | Yes | 240 |
| 0x1411…2410 | Yes | 126 |
| alternate01 | Yes | 100 |
| ironstorm | Yes | 60 |
| youtube-trader | Yes | 52 |
| 0x9631…89a1 | No | 1k |
| UnscheduledNap | No | 557 |
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