What are the odds for “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?” on Polymarket?

No 99% · Yes 1%, on $25k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $25k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$25k
Liquidity
$35k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes128100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)	None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7%	$6.5M	$40.2M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$3.2M	$13.3M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28%	$2.6M	$7.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$2.5M	$14.3M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21%	$1.8M	$2.0M
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25%	$1.6M	$3.1M
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$1.6M	$273k
Texas Governor Election Winner	Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 39%	$546k	$870k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.7¢ask 1.6¢spread 0.9¢mid 1.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

410.7¢

1.6¢20

1490.6¢

1.7¢20

200.5¢

1.8¢95

690.4¢

2¢172

4760.3¢

2.1¢75

2580.2¢

4.8¢30

4220.1¢

4.9¢263

5.3¢20

8.1¢45

8.2¢20

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$97k
22026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$114k
32026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$60k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$53k
5Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$31k
6Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$26k
7Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$41k
8Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$33k
9Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$22k
10Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$25k

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $25k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Politics · Elections · live

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

No 99% · Yes 1%. Volume $25k, liquidity $35k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
99%
Yes
1%
Volume
$25k
Liquidity
$35k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?

live

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

98.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes128100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map)	None 32% · IA 11% · IA, KS 7%	$6.5M	$40.2M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 73% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5%	$3.2M	$13.3M
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 74% · Republican Party 28%	$2.6M	$7.1M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$2.5M	$14.3M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 21%	$1.8M	$2.0M
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25%	$1.6M	$3.1M
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes 0% · No 100%	$1.6M	$273k
Texas Governor Election Winner	Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 39%	$546k	$870k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 0.7¢ask 1.6¢spread 0.9¢mid 1.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

410.7¢

1.6¢20

1490.6¢

1.7¢20

200.5¢

1.8¢95

690.4¢

2¢172

4760.3¢

2.1¢75

2580.2¢

4.8¢30

4220.1¢

4.9¢263

5.3¢20

8.1¢45

8.2¢20

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$97k
22026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$114k
32026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$60k
4Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?$53k
5Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$31k
6Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?$26k
7Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$41k
8Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?$33k
9Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?$22k
10Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?$25k

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?” on Polymarket?: No 99% · Yes 1%, on $25k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.