No 98% · Yes 2%. Smart money leans No (7 ranked wallets, average entry 97¢). Volume $24k, liquidity $26k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 13% · No 88% | $523k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $275k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 11% · No 90% | $264k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 6% | $193k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | Yes 23% · No 78% | $170k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? | Yes 4% · No 96% | $150k |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $143k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes 43% · No 57% | $139k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| thecaricature | Yes | 579 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 255 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 205 |
| 0x6b0ebb | Yes | 204 |
| Agyapro | Yes | 200 |
| BASSATS01 | Yes | 198 |
| Bsau4 | Yes | 182 |
| 0xd512…79b3 | Yes | 167 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 158 |
| maxlang | Yes | 121 |
| Car | No | 1k |
| QMG-CORE | No | 657 |
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