No 85% · Yes 15%. Smart money leans No (4 ranked wallets, average entry 93¢). Volume $33k, liquidity $7.7k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 64% · No change 33% · 25 bps decrease 1% | $2.0M |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 75% · 25 bps increase 19% · 25 bps decrease 3% | $88k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 64% · No 37% | $79k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $79k |
| Fed Decision in March? | No change 56% · 25 bps increase 33% · 25 bps decrease 5% | $46k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 66% · 1 (25 bps) 34% · 3 (75 bps) 1% | $30k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 66% · Hike–Pause–Pause 31% | $17k |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 67% · Pause-Pause-Hike 18% · Pause-Pause-Pause 10% | $13k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 5k |
| NoSteinNoGate | Yes | 4k |
| Started-with-20-USD | Yes | 2k |
| balthazar | Yes | 699 |
| 0x52eb1e | Yes | 498 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 273 |
| alamedamemola | Yes | 200 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 130 |
| 0xbbf686 | Yes | 126 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 107 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 12k |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 512 |
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