Yes won. Volume $9.4k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 70% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $124k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $29k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% | $21k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 16% | $14k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 27% | $12k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 93% · No change 7% | $11k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 87% · 25 bps decrease 13% | $10k |
| Central Bank of Chile decision in December | No change 76% · 25 bps increase 16% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Jnf17 | Yes | $594.28 |
| Rogoio7 | Yes | $131.76 |
| 0xee8a… | Yes | $93.20 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | $92.44 |
| GrapeFlavoredDrinkMix | Yes | $91.71 |
| Vagabund97 | Yes | $61.52 |
| intelligence98 | Yes | $55.60 |
| 0x5f3e… | Yes | $52.80 |
| Beubeu | Yes | $43.49 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | $29.20 |
| D222222222 | Yes | $18.20 |
| G24L8 | No | $16.03 |
46 wallets held a position at the close. The 18 biggest winners took $1.3k; the 28 biggest losers gave up $327. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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