Yes won. Volume $86k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 78% · No change 22% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $1.1M |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 76% · No 25% | $94k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 72% · 25 bps decrease 29% | $61k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 0% | $56k |
| Fed decisions (Oct-Jan) | Pause-Hike-Pause 77% · Pause-Pause-Hike 14% · Pause-Pause-Pause 8% | $24k |
| Fed Decision in January? | No change 73% · 25 bps increase 25% · 25 bps decrease 2% | $16k |
| Fed decisions (Sep–Dec) | Hike–Pause–Hike 75% · Other 1% | $9k |
| Bank of Brazil decision in November? | No Change 87% · 25 bps decrease 12% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| dnaghsa | Yes | $1k |
| rspa | Yes | $770.72 |
| FIDS93 | Yes | $531.61 |
| EternalObl1vion | Yes | $228.43 |
| MFS-000 | Yes | $183.52 |
| 0x6ad5… | Yes | $178.53 |
| xiaoaojiang | Yes | $172.09 |
| defeff333 | No | $81.96 |
| bigman43 | Yes | $65.84 |
| quantpp | Yes | $63.87 |
| 0x9cc0… | No | $58.28 |
| Escumish | Yes | $50.48 |
129 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $4.5k; the 54 biggest losers gave up $1.4k. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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