Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $8.8k, liquidity $880. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$8.8k
Liquidity
$880

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic r… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

97.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 1%	$114k	$1.7M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 2% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$27k	$482k
Fed Decision in January?	No change 70% · 25 bps increase 26% · 25 bps decrease 2%	$23k	$533k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 70% · No 31%	$21k	$211k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% · 3 (75 bps) 1%	$14k	$184k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 14%	$10k	$18k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 89% · No change 12%	$10k	$12k
Central Bank of Chile decision in December	No change 68% · 25 bps increase 19% · 50+ bps increase 10%	$8k	$10k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1¢ask 3.3¢spread 2.3¢mid 2.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2201¢

3.3¢45

4400.7¢

3.4¢53

1510.6¢

9.9¢40

2930.3¢

10¢100

4280.2¢

10¢30

1.8k0.1¢

10¢31

15¢95

15¢50

15¢100

59¢500

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$4k
2Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$686.31
3Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$818.45
4No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?$585.43
5Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$310.82
6Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?$450.09

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $8.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

No 98% · Yes 2%. Volume $8.8k, liquidity $880. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
98%
Yes
2%
Volume
$8.8k
Liquidity
$880

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

live

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic r… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

97.9%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 1%	$114k	$1.7M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 2% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$27k	$482k
Fed Decision in January?	No change 70% · 25 bps increase 26% · 25 bps decrease 2%	$23k	$533k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 70% · No 31%	$21k	$211k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% · 3 (75 bps) 1%	$14k	$184k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 88% · 25 bps decrease 14%	$10k	$18k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 89% · No change 12%	$10k	$12k
Central Bank of Chile decision in December	No change 68% · 25 bps increase 19% · 50+ bps increase 10%	$8k	$10k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 1¢ask 3.3¢spread 2.3¢mid 2.2¢

SizeBid

AskSize

2201¢

3.3¢45

4400.7¢

3.4¢53

1510.6¢

9.9¢40

2930.3¢

10¢100

4280.2¢

10¢30

1.8k0.1¢

10¢31

15¢95

15¢50

15¢100

59¢500

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

The operation was aborted due to timeout

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$4k
2Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$686.31
3Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$818.45
4No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?$585.43
5Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?$310.82
6Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?$450.09

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 98% · Yes 2%, on $8.8k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market, the recently resolved markets or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.