No 54% · Yes 46%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 43¢). Volume $8.5k, liquidity $964. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $311k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $271k |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $159k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $145k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 91% | $145k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $139k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026? | Yes 83% · No 18% | $127k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes 47% · No 54% | $112k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mocking-guess | Yes | 392 |
| verybadtrader | Yes | 55 |
| lissartter | Yes | 40 |
| yolohustler | Yes | 25 |
| helicobite | Yes | 25 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| pppnn | Yes | 20 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 20 |
| haouibao | Yes | 20 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 20 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 404 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 78 |
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