No 75% · Yes 26%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 20¢). Volume $3.8k, liquidity $11k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? | None 26% · IA, KS 12% · IA 10% | $4.8M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 70% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 5% | $1.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $1.5M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 18% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% | $916k |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% · Mike Rogers (R) 30% | $781k |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 71% · Ken Paxton (R) 30% | $638k |
| Iowa Senate Election Winner | Ashley Hinson (R) 57% · Josh Turek (D) 42% | $498k |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 28% | $458k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| JohnP92 | Yes | 331 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 231 |
| 0xf27dc | Yes | 201 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 78 |
| 0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl | Yes | 69 |
| wert4 | Yes | 21 |
| grove223 | Yes | 13 |
| pppnn | Yes | 13 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 11 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 10 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 842 |
| algo168 | No | 98 |
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