No 87% · Yes 14%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 75¢). Volume $19k, liquidity $29k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Michigan Senate Election Margin of Vict… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 8% | $5.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 5% | $2.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 30% | $2.0M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 28% | $1.4M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 79% · Mike Rogers (R) 22% | $1.3M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 7% | $739k |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 14% · Mark Kelly 2% | $295k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Addarash | Yes | 4k |
| Loyalty-Crash | Yes | 2k |
| shiifoo | Yes | 1k |
| blkcarib2020 | Yes | 909 |
| balthazar | Yes | 496 |
| DataDog | Yes | 450 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 433 |
| 42021 | Yes | 300 |
| ragutwo | Yes | 217 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 152 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 7k |
| Gdub | No | 1k |
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