No 77% · Yes 24%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 87¢). Volume $31k, liquidity $28k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of Michigan Senate Election Margin of Vict… →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 32% · IA 9% · IA, KS 7% | $6.2M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $2.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 72% · R Senate, D House 23% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $2.5M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 73% · Republican Party 28% | $2.5M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 80% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 76% · Ken Paxton (R) 25% | $1.5M |
| Next French Presidential Election | David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 12% · Christine Lagarde 9% | $575k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 62% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 38% | $551k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| BigRabbit | Yes | 4k |
| lava-lava | Yes | 3k |
| Addarash | Yes | 2k |
| blkcarib2020 | Yes | 833 |
| theelectionwatcher | Yes | 659 |
| DataDog | Yes | 436 |
| bearlow2 | Yes | 387 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 327 |
| G.Hchen | Yes | 300 |
| aj4848 - 31676 | Yes | 267 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 8k |
| Albert 1953 | No | 3k |
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