No 90% · Yes 10%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 11¢). Volume $14k, liquidity $34k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 37% · IA 11% · IA, KS 6% | $12.4M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 19% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $4.9M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 77% · Republican Party 24% | $2.5M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 75% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.6M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $845k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $521k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lava-lava | Yes | 1k |
| shiifoo | Yes | 1k |
| JohnP92 | Yes | 1k |
| blkcarib2020 | Yes | 1k |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 672 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 253 |
| Georgette98 | Yes | 241 |
| Okanlol | Yes | 229 |
| JPLP | Yes | 140 |
| AlAhmeda | Yes | 100 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 5k |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 793 |
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