Yes won. Smart money backed No (3 ranked wallets, average entry 42¢) and lost. Volume $39k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| 0x5e4c… | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 | J.D. Vance 31% · Marco Rubio 19% · Ron DeSantis 14% | $4.3M |
| Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 | Jon Ossoff 24% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% · Josh Shapiro 5% | $2.8M |
| Presidential Election Winner 2028 | Jon Ossoff 18% · JD Vance 17% · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% | $1.4M |
| Next French Presidential Election | Marine Le Pen 40% · David Lisnard 16% · Jean-Luc Mélenchon 14% | $655k |
| Taipei Mayor Election Winner | Chiang Wan-an 68% · Puma Shen 33% | $303k |
| Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027? | Yes 98% · No 2% | $38k |
| Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5? | Yes 98% · No 3% | $30k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Paeniscus | Yes | $149.32 |
| 0x120b… | Yes | $127.05 |
| 0xe41a… | Yes | $98.33 |
| nicoco89 | Yes | $60.41 |
| FrozenParasite | Yes | $33.95 |
| FlyingPlaty | Yes | $17.50 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | $10.14 |
| 0x4857… | No | $9.56 |
| Elias.Thornwell | Yes | $8.65 |
| mylta | No | $5.52 |
| OmegaV2 | Yes | $4.86 |
| 0x6e64… | Yes | $3.02 |
55 wallets held a position at the close. The 24 biggest winners took $545; the 31 biggest losers gave up $157. The ranked wallets were on the wrong side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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