Yes 98% · No 2%. Smart money leans Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 80¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $16k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 36% · IA 11% · IA, KS 5% | $13.3M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 77% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $8.5M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $5.2M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 78% · Republican Party 23% | $2.3M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 74% · Ken Paxton (R) 26% | $2.2M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20% | $1.7M |
| Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | ≤47 56% · 48 14% · 49 10% | $848k |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 60% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 40% | $481k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| byu5 | Yes | 5k |
| Gladius7 | Yes | 2k |
| i2dt | Yes | 798 |
| GUINESS123 | Yes | 756 |
| vinii | Yes | 309 |
| variant1.meta | Yes | 230 |
| GirlOnFire | Yes | 144 |
| 0x120b…ee03 | Yes | 124 |
| excession | Yes | 123 |
| Glued | Yes | 100 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 3k |
| Haradwaith | No | 2k |
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