What are the odds for “Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?” on Polymarket?

No 61% · Yes 40%, on $40k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.

Who is the smart money on “Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?”?

Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Politics · Elections · live

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?

No 61% · Yes 40%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $65k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
61%
Yes
40%
Volume
$40k
Liquidity
$65k

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

7 wallets · 2,222 known shares

nicoco89whale
entry 21¢ · all-time +$123k · win 64%
0xce06…9a1e
entry 41¢ · all-time +$4.5k · win 35%
BobbyBakedBeans
entry 51¢ · all-time +$31k · win 51%
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl
entry 24¢ · all-time +$32k · win 82%
0x6b25c5
entry 25¢ · all-time +$24k · win 50%
Anon234
entry — · all-time −$282 · win 47%

More Elections markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?” on Polymarket?: No 61% · Yes 40%, on $40k of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?”?: Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 22¢). The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Election odds Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat?

live

Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

Current odds

Market & odds history

60.5%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes2k92%
No1928%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Elections markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?	None 23% · IA, KS 14% · IA 10%	$6.5M	$45.6M
Which party will win the House in 2026?	Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6%	$2.7M	$15.5M
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms	Democrats Sweep 71% · R Senate, D House 24% · Republicans Sweep 6%	$1.8M	$15.4M
Michigan Senate Election Winner	Abdul El-Sayed (D) 81% · Mike Rogers (R) 20%	$1.8M	$844k
Nebraska Senate Election Winner	Pete Ricketts (R) 76% · Independent 24%	$765k	$458k
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?	Democratic Party 72% · Republican Party 29%	$625k	$5.5M
Next French Presidential Election	David Lisnard 16% · Édouard Philippe 14% · Christine Lagarde 5%	$570k	$670k
Texas Senate Election Winner	James Talarico (D) 72% · Ken Paxton (R) 28%	$455k	$2.4M

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

Yesbid 38¢ask 40¢spread 2¢mid 39¢

SizeBid

AskSize

50138¢

40¢367

1.9k37¢

41¢3.2k

2.0k36¢

42¢18k

8335¢

43¢2.6k

3034¢

44¢8.0k

1027¢

47¢430

522¢

57¢400

1.9k19¢

58¢12

8.3k18¢

65¢472

2.5k17¢

66¢2.5k

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
BigRabbit	Yes	3k	38¢	$153.20	$128k
nicoco89	Yes	1k	21¢	$400.26	$123k
SitsToPee	Yes	1k			$63k
G.Hchen	Yes	600	34¢	$204.61	$26k
0x66e7…8bcd	Yes	481			$139k
TradeDeficitArchitect	Yes	400	40¢	$40	$194k
0xce06…9a1e	Yes	292	41¢	$120	$5k
HolyMoses7	Yes	238			$197k
Snoopyfan	Yes	200			$31k
BobbyBakedBeans	Yes	179	51¢	$35.70	$31k
0xa5ef39	No	4k			$0
flexibleagedbeef	No	2k	75¢	$1k	$2k

Smart-money conviction · Elections

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$349k
2Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?$295k
3Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$148k
42026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$153k
5Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$66k
6Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$49k
7Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?$22k
82026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$26k
9Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$18k
10Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$23k