No 72% · Yes 28%. Smart money leans Yes (2 ranked wallets, average entry 26¢). Volume $40k, liquidity $59k. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗ Every outcome of TX-09 House Election Winner →
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win? (Build Your Map) | None 31% · IA 10% · IA, KS 6% | $14.5M |
| Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms | Democrats Sweep 74% · R Senate, D House 20% · Republicans Sweep 6% | $9.3M |
| Which party will win the House in 2026? | Democratic Party 95% · Republican Party 6% | $6.7M |
| Which party will win the Senate in 2026? | Democratic Party 75% · Republican Party 26% | $3.7M |
| Texas Senate Election Winner | James Talarico (D) 73% · Ken Paxton (R) 27% | $3.3M |
| Michigan Senate Election Winner | Abdul El-Sayed (D) 78% · Mike Rogers (R) 23% | $1.6M |
| Texas Governor Election Winner | Greg Abbott (R) 64% · Gina Hinojosa (D) 37% | $1.1M |
| Florida Governor Election Winner | Byron Donalds (R) 67% · David Jolly (D) 35% | $981k |
| Wallet | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mrworldwide | Yes | 7k |
| Contestable-Parfait | Yes | 942 |
| Forrester26 | Yes | 635 |
| purplegatto | Yes | 566 |
| villa20 | Yes | 500 |
| BigRabbit | Yes | 485 |
| resfeber | Yes | 322 |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 320 |
| cowcat | Yes | 283 |
| Gaditima | Yes | 250 |
| 0xa5ef39 | No | 7k |
| Haradwaith | No | 1k |
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