Who is the smart money on “Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?”?

The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.

Where does this data come from?

Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.

Can I make this my own dashboard?

Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Economics · Fed & Rates · live

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

No 100% · Yes 0%. Volume $0. Trade it on Polymarket ↗ Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗

No
100%
Yes
0%
Volume
$0
Liquidity
—

Trade like a whale.Every smart wallet on this market by name, their entries and the live tape — on Polynyx.Trade like a whale ↗

Smart wallets

Who holds each side.

Yes

3 wallets · 30 known shares

0x2936…0a12
entry 0¢ · all-time −$201 · win 9%
yzhaobk
entry 96¢ · all-time −$558 · win 88%
jjzzh
entry 0¢ · all-time −$155 · win 3%

No

0 wallets

No ranked, Sharp or Whale wallet holds this side.

More Fed & Rates markets

FAQ

What are the odds for “Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?” on Polymarket?: No 100% · Yes 0%, on $0 of volume. The odds-history widget charts the last month; every number refreshes on your plan's cadence — 15 minutes on Hobby, every minute on Developer.
Who is the smart money on “Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?”?: The smart-money widget lists the ranked, Sharp and Whale wallets on each side with their shares, entry prices and track records; the 'follow' line summarises which side they favour.
Where does this data come from?: Polymarket odds, volume and liquidity from the public APIs, plus Polynyx's analytics layer: 500M+ on-chain fills rebuilt into wallet P&L, win rates and smart-money positioning, with arbitrage and market-maker bots filtered out. The wallet-level view of this market — every smart wallet by name with its P&L and trades — lives on Polynyx.
Can I make this my own dashboard?: Yes. Use this template clones the six widgets into your account; change the window, add a wallet, filter the tape to one side, and publish it as a page of its own.

Part of the Fed rate decision Polymarket dashboard. Browse every live market or the top wallets. Prefer code? The same data is a REST API and MCP server.

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?

live

Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the March 2026… · odds, 1 month

Market & odds history

No data for these parameters.

Current odds

Market & odds history

100%

Smart money by side · known shares

Smart money on a market

Yes30100%

Tape · this market, $500+

Live trade tape

No trades match these filters in the current window.

Fed & Rates markets by 24h volume

Live markets

Market	Odds	24h volume	Liquidity
Fed Decision in December?	25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2%	$197k	$1.9M
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?	0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1%	$22k	$726k
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?	2 (50 bps) 70% · 1 (25 bps) 28%	$21k	$130k
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes 70% · No 30%	$15k	$195k
Bank of Canada Decision in December?	No Change 62% · 25 bps increase 38%	$10k	$10k
Fed Decision in January?	No change 73% · 25 bps increase 24% · 25 bps decrease 2%	$10k	$557k
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?	No change 90% · 25 bps decrease 11%	$9k	$21k
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November	25 bps increase 93% · No change 7%	$7k	$8k

Order book · depth behind the odds

Order book

No resting orders on this book right now.

Biggest holders · each side

Top holders

Wallet	Outcome	Shares	Entry	Invested	All-time P&L
0x1d9f…c9c6	Yes	8k	1¢	$49.08	−$3k
0x457de8	Yes	5k	0¢	$10	−$53.78
acal	Yes	4k			$16k
zelimiuw	Yes	2k	0¢	$4.99	−$15.94
ACara	Yes	2k			$43k
LukeDelta	Yes	2k			$1k
Mr.GoodCat	Yes	2k	1¢	$10	−$100.95
shuishen00	Yes	1k	1¢	$13.96	$464.28
anujsharma	Yes	1k	0¢	$1	$29.94
dffdg	Yes	1k	0¢	$1	$2k
0xa5ef39	No	99k			$0
shids	No	7	100¢	$7.39	−$637.50

Smart-money conviction · Fed & Rates

Smart-money conviction

1Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$16k
2Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$3k
3Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$2k
4Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?$2k
5Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?$285.05