No won. Volume $1.2k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes 2% · No 98% | $253k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7? | Yes 95% · No 5% | $247k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | Yes 77% · No 24% | $225k |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes 12% · No 89% | $163k |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? | Yes 8% · No 93% | $157k |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes 10% · No 90% | $146k |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6? | Yes 99% · No 1% | $113k |
| US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026? | Yes 94% · No 6% | $100k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| Mrpike | No | $47.14 |
| maomao228 | No | $2.28 |
| El-popo | No | $1.85 |
| hgr1 | No | $1.36 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | −$13 |
| 0x9f2f… | Yes | −$5 |
| special-one | Yes | −$3.59 |
| mangostein | Yes | −$2.80 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | −$2.80 |
| hithitfar | No | −$1.31 |
| xixihaha009 | No | −$1.02 |
| miltern | Yes | −$1 |
12 wallets held a position at the close. The 4 biggest winners took $53; the 8 biggest losers gave up $31. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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