Yes won. Smart money backed Yes (1 ranked wallet, average entry 48¢) and won. Volume $357k. Every smart wallet on Polynyx ↗
| Wallet | P&L | 30d P&L |
|---|---|---|
| mintblade | $9.2M | $9.2M |
| fishalive | $9.1M | $9.1M |
| frostrizz | $8.9M | $8.9M |
| GRIMDRIP | $7.6M | $7.6M |
| joseph00677 | $5.6M | $7.2M |
| muchobliged | $2.2M | $7.1M |
| endlessFate | $7.4M | $4.7M |
| Inaccuratestake | $4.0M | $3.9M |
| Market | Odds | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|
| Fed Decision in December? | 25 bps increase 71% · No change 28% · 50+ bps increase 2% | $125k |
| How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? | 0 (0 bps) 97% · 1 (25 bps) 1% · 2 (50 bps) 1% | $28k |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand Decision in March? | 25 bps increase 37% · 25 bps decrease 14% | $14k |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes 73% · No 28% | $12k |
| Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November | 25 bps increase 92% · No change 7% | $11k |
| Bank of Mexico Decision in November? | No change 87% · 25 bps decrease 13% | $10k |
| How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? | 2 (50 bps) 73% · 1 (25 bps) 28% | $9k |
| Central Bank of Chile decision in December | No change 76% · 25 bps increase 16% · 50+ bps increase 1% | $7k |
| Wallet | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|
| porkbun | Yes | $4k |
| soapbubbles | Yes | $3k |
| odsowner | Yes | $3k |
| parsifal | Yes | $2k |
| santaclaws | Yes | $2k |
| sqaolkytrpoi | Yes | $1k |
| DOG-UndressedVersion | Yes | $835.25 |
| criollo2 | Yes | $690.20 |
| happy00 | Yes | $648.00 |
| heyhellohey | Yes | $498.01 |
| ClickKlackClick | Yes | $339.56 |
| jiantie | Yes | $292.67 |
206 wallets held a position at the close. The 60 biggest winners took $20k; the 60 biggest losers gave up $5.2k. The ranked wallets were on the winning side. Realized at resolution from on-chain fills, bots included and flagged.
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